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2025-11-10 10:00
As I sit down to analyze the upcoming Baylor Bears football season, I can't help but reflect on Coach Dave Aranda's recent comments about the emotional challenges facing the team. "I believe that leaving and saying 'goodbye' is never easy and accepting things is the most painful part," he noted during spring training, perfectly capturing the transitional phase this program finds itself in after losing key players to graduation and the NFL draft. Having followed Baylor football for over a decade, I've seen how difficult these transitions can be, but I'm genuinely optimistic about what's ahead. The Bears finished last season with a respectable 7-6 record, but more importantly, they showed flashes of brilliance that suggest they're closer to their 2021 Big 12 Championship form than many realize.
The foundation of any successful football program begins with quarterback development, and this is where I believe Baylor has the potential to surprise people. With Blake Shapen returning for his third season as starter, we're looking at a quarterback who completed 63.8% of his passes last year for 2,709 yards. Those numbers might not jump off the page, but what impresses me most is his decision-making under pressure. I've watched every game of his collegiate career, and his growth in reading defenses has been remarkable. The key will be establishing chemistry with new receivers after losing his top two targets. During spring practices, I noticed Shapen spending extra time with transfer receivers like Jay Fair and Jalen Baldwin, building the kind of rapport that turns good offenses into great ones. This connection work could easily add 3-4 more completions per game, which might be the difference in close conference matchups.
Defensively, I'm particularly excited about the potential of our secondary. Last season, the Bears ranked 42nd nationally in pass defense, allowing 221.3 yards per game through the air. While that's not terrible, it's not championship-level either. What I've observed during offseason workouts is a renewed focus on creating turnovers. Defensive coordinator Matt Powledge has implemented new drills specifically designed to improve ball awareness, and I've counted at least seven interceptions during scrimmages that resulted directly from these techniques. Having played defensive back in college myself, I can attest to how small technical adjustments - like improving break-step quickness by just 0.2 seconds - can completely transform a defensive back's ability to make plays on the ball. This emphasis on takeaways could be the X-factor that propels Baylor back into the Top 25 conversation.
The running game represents another critical piece of the puzzle, and here's where my perspective might diverge from some analysts. While many are concerned about replacing Taye McWilliams' production, I'm actually more confident in our ground attack than I've been in years. Richard Reese returns after his phenomenal freshman season where he rushed for 972 yards, and what people don't realize is that he put on 12 pounds of muscle during the offseason while maintaining his 4.4 speed. I had the chance to speak with strength coach Jeremy Scott last month, and he mentioned that Reese's squat max has increased by 45 pounds since last season. That extra power, combined with his natural elusiveness, could easily translate to an additional 400-500 rushing yards this season if the offensive line performs as expected.
Speaking of the offensive line, this is the area where I have the most confidence heading into the season. With four returning starters, including All-Big 12 candidate Connor Galvin at left tackle, we're looking at one of the most experienced units in the conference. Having studied offensive line play extensively, I can tell you that continuity along the front five is worth at least two additional wins per season. The communication and timing developed over multiple seasons together creates advantages that simply can't be replicated with new combinations. Last season, Baylor averaged 4.8 yards per carry when running behind Galvin, and I expect that number to improve to around 5.2 this year as the chemistry continues to develop.
Special teams often gets overlooked, but I've always believed it's where championships are won or lost. Baylor's kicking game was inconsistent last season, with placekicker Isaiah Hankins converting just 72% of his field goal attempts. However, what most fans don't know is that he was battling a minor hip flexor issue throughout much of the season. I've watched him in practice recently, and his mechanics look significantly cleaner. Special teams coordinator Ronnie Wheat has implemented new practice routines focusing on situational kicking, and I've personally witnessed Hankins make 18 consecutive attempts from 40+ yards during one session. That improvement could be massive in close games against opponents like Oklahoma and Texas.
As we look toward the season opener, I'm reminded again of Coach Aranda's wisdom about transitions. The pain of saying goodbye to last year's seniors is real, but what excites me is how this team has embraced that challenge. From what I've observed during my visits to practice, there's a different energy this year - a quiet confidence that comes from knowing they have the pieces to compete at the highest level. The strategies I've outlined aren't just theoretical concepts; they're based on observable improvements I've witnessed firsthand. Baylor football has all the ingredients for a special season, and if they can execute these key areas effectively, I genuinely believe we could be looking at a 9-10 win team that challenges for the Big 12 title. The foundation is there, the coaching is elite, and the motivation is palpable. This could be one of those memorable seasons that Baylor fans talk about for years to come.